Five Day Flood Risk Forecast

Forecast issued by the Met Office at 10:30am, Tuesday 12th December

Local flooding is possible from surface water and rivers in parts of Wales and central parts of England on Wednesday into Thursday due to a combination of rainfall and snowmelt. Lands, roads and some properties may flood and there may be travel disruption.

Read this forecast in Welsh

River

Minor river flooding impacts are possible on Wednesday into Thursday in Area A in Specific Areas of Concern Map 1 due to a combination rain and snow melt.

The overall river flood risk remains VERY LOW.

Coastal

Minor coastal flooding impacts are possible but not expected, due to gale force winds and large waves for the south-west of England from Wednesday through to Friday.

The coastal flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Surface

Minor surface water flooding impacts are possible on Wednesday into Thursday in Area A in Specific Areas of Concern Map 1 due to a combination of rain and snow melt.

The overall surface water flood risk remains VERY LOW.

Groundwater

The groundwater flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Daily Risk Forecast Maps

Areas Potentially Affected

Wednesday 13th December

Swansea, Gloucestershire, Staffordshire, Worcestershire, Carmarthenshire, Cardiff, Leicester, Blaenau Gwent, Wrexham, Newport, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Luton, Caerphilly, Herefordshire, Gwynedd, W Midlands, Warwickshire, Powys, Milton Keynes, Northamptonshire, Monmouthshire, Neath Port Talbot, Derbyshire, Denbighshire, Buckinghamshire, Hertfordshire, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Bridgend, Conwy, Cheshire, Cambridgeshire, Rutland, Bedfordshire, Oxfordshire, Leicestershire, Torfaen

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Flood impacts are possible from rain combining with snowmelt in this area.

Thursday 14th December

Swansea, Gloucestershire, Staffordshire, Worcestershire, Carmarthenshire, Cardiff, Leicester, Blaenau Gwent, Wrexham, Newport, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Luton, Caerphilly, Herefordshire, Gwynedd, W Midlands, Warwickshire, Powys, Milton Keynes, Northamptonshire, Monmouthshire, Neath Port Talbot, Derbyshire, Denbighshire, Buckinghamshire, Hertfordshire, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Bridgend, Conwy, Cheshire, Cambridgeshire, Rutland, Bedfordshire, Oxfordshire, Leicestershire, Torfaen

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Flood impacts are possible from rain combining with snowmelt in this area.

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